See Nevada UpNorth’s post related to the comments below
It turns out that we are a nation of godless, big government-loving, homosexual-adoring people–especially you young whippersnappers. The percentage of Independents leaning Democratic is growing at an average of 1% a year. They aren’t converting at break-neck speed, but over time, that 1% adds up to notable Republican losses. The bad news is that this shift is seen more as a Republican loss than a Democratic gain. Reclaiming the discourse of liberal politics could change that–I’m convinced that a lot of people’s fears to align themselves with Democrats or call themselves liberal has been effected by the increasingly hysterical tone of the conservative pundits in the context of post 9/11. What the conservative pundits don’t realize is that the more hysterical they become, the more they are turning Independent voters off. And of course they become more hysterical as they lose more voters and elections. Talk about a vicious cycle. All the more reason for us to help Fox News become an actual news channel however and wherever we can.
Over the past five years, the political landscape of the nation has shifted from one of partisan parity to a sizable Democratic advantage. But the change reflects Republican losses more than Democratic gains. Compared with 2002, Democratic Party identification is up just two points (from 31% to 33%) and has not grown at all since 2004. Republican Party identification, meanwhile, has fallen precipitously, from 29% as recently as 2005 to just 25% in the first quarter of 2007.
The shift that favors the Democratic Party is among independents. The share of Americans who describe themselves as independents who “lean” toward the Democratic Party has gradually risen from 12% in 2002 to 17% in the first quarter of 2007. Meanwhile, the share leaning toward the GOP has dropped, but only slightly (from 13% to 11%). But the survey suggests that even these Democratic gains reflect independents’ dissatisfaction with the Republican Party more than any greater liking for the Democrats.
And the current ideological profile for Nevada reads like this:
Don’t Know: 2%
As always, a big shout-out to survey master
Be sure and read
- Pew Research: Hillary Clinton Is Tougher Than Rudy Giuliani
- Pew Report Highlights Public Discontent
- Good News and Bad News for Democrats